Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Фергюсон Ниал (Нил)

Вернуться

1041

National Center for Health Statistics, «Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19», https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Вернуться

1042

Charles Tallack, «Understanding Excess Mortality: Comparing COVID-19’s Impact in the UK to Other European Countries», Health Foundation, June 30, 2020, https://www.health.org.uk/news-and-comment/charts-and-infographics/comparing-covid19impactintheuktoeuropean-countries.

Вернуться

1043

«Coronavirus Tracked: The Latest Figures as Countries Fight COVID-19 Resurgence», Financial Times, August 14, 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8–5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938.

Вернуться

1044

Era Iyer, «Some Are Winning – Some Are Not: Which States and Territories Do Best in Beating COVID-19?» End Coronavirus, https://www.endcoronavirus.org/states?itemId=wja54gdfp032z0770ls4y81fw8cq66.

Вернуться

1045

Tomas Pueyo, «Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now», Medium, March 10, 2020, https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-todayorpeople-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca.

Вернуться

1046

Jacob B. Aguilar et al., «A Model Describing COVID-19 Community Transmission Taking into Account Asymptomatic Carriers and Risk Mitigation», MedRxiv, August 11, 2020: pp. 1-32, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.18.20037994; Sanche et al., «High Contagiousness».

Вернуться

1047

Eskild Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza Pandemics», Lancet Infectious Diseases 20, no. 9 (September 2020), pp. E238 – E244, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473–3099 (20) 304849.

Вернуться

1048

См., напр.: Arnaud Fontanet et al., «Cluster of COVID-19 in Northern France: A Retrospective Closed Cohort Study», MedRxiv, April 23, 2020, pp. 1-22, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.18.20071134.

Вернуться

1049

«COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios», CDC, July 10, 2020, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html.

Вернуться

1050

Kim Jeong-min et al., «Identification of Coronavirus Isolated from a Patient in Korea with COVID-19», Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives 11, no. 1 (February 2020), pp. 3–7, https://doi.org/10.24171/j.phrp.2020.11.1.02; Joshua L. Santarpia et al., «Aerosol and Surface Transmission Potential of SARS-CoV2», MedRxiv, June 3, 2020, pp. 1-19, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.23.20039446v2.

Вернуться

1051

Valentyn Stadnytskyi et al., «The Airborne Lifetime of Small Speech Droplets and Their Potential Importance in SARS-CoV2 Transmission», PNAS 117, no. 22 (June 2, 2020), pp. 11875-11877, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2006874117; Lydia Bourouiba, «Turbulent Gas Clouds and Respiratory Pathogen Emissions: Potential Implications for Reducing Transmission of COVID-19», Journal of the American Medical Association (henceforth JAMA) 323, no. 18 (March 26, 2020), pp. 1837–1838, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.4756.

Вернуться

1052

Jonathan Kay, «COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons», Quillette, April 23, 2020, https://quillette.com/2020/04/23/covid19superspreader-eventsin28countries-critical-patterns-and-lessons/; Lidia Morawska and Donald K. Milton, «It Is Time to Address Airborne Transmission of COVID-19», Clinical Infectious Diseases, July 6, 2020, pp. 1–9, https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa939.

Вернуться

1053

Kimberly A. Prather, Chia C. Wang, and Robert T. Schooley, «Reducing Transmission of SARS-CoV2», Science 368, no. 6498, June 26, 2020, pp. 1422–1424, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc6197; Richard O. J. H. Stutt et al., «A Modelling Framework to Assess the Likely Effectiveness of Facemasks in Combination with ‘Lock-Down’ in Managing the COVID-19 Pandemic», Proceedings of the Royal Society 476, no. 2238 (June 10, 2020), pp. 1-21, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0376. Неубедительные аргументы против масок: Graham P. Martin, Esmée Hanna, and Robert Dingwall, «Face Masks for the Public During COVID-19: An Appeal for Caution in Policy», SocArXiv, April 25, 2020, pp. 1–7, https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/uyzxe.

Вернуться

1054

Qian Hua et al., «Indoor Transmission of SARS-CoV2», MedRxiv, April 7, 2020, pp. 1-22, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058.

Вернуться

1055

Jordan Peccia et al., «SARS-CoV2 RNA Concentrations in Primary Municipal Sewage Sludge as a Leading Indicator of COVID-19 Outbreak Dynamics», MedRxiv, June 12, 2020, pp. 1-12, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.19.20105999; Li Yun-yun, Wang Jixiang, and Chen Xi, «Can a Toilet Promote Virus Transmission? From a Fluid Dynamics Perspective», Physics of Fluids 32, no. 6, June 16, 2020, pp. 1-15, https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0013318.

Вернуться

1056

Авторы многочисленных статей следовали этой гипотезе, вероятно, неправильной. См.: Wang Jingyuan et al., «High Temperature and High Humidity Reduce the Transmission of COVID-19», May 22, 2020, pp. 1-33, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3551767; Ma Yueling et al., «Effects of Temperature Variation and Humidity on the Mortality of COVID-19 in Wuhan», MedRxiv, March 18, 2020, pp. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.15.20036426; Qi Hongchao et al., «COVID-19 Transmission in Mainland China Is Associated with Temperature and Humidity: A Time-Series Analysis», MedRxiv, March 30, 2020, pp. 1-19, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20044099; Mohammad M. Sajadi et al., «Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19», April 6, 2020, pp. 1-18, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550308; Kyle Meng, «Research: Working Papers», http://www.kylemeng.com/research; Qasim Bukhari and Yusuf Jameel, «Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?» April 18, 2020, pp. 1-15, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556998; Mohammad M. Sajadi et al., «Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Estimate Potential Spread and Seasonality of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)», JAMA Network Open 3, no. 6 (June 11, 2020), pp. 1-11, https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.11834.

Вернуться

1057

Cristina Menni et al., «Real-Time Tracking of Self-Reported Symptoms to Predict Potential COVID19», Nature Medicine 26 (May 11, 2020), pp. 1037–1040, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-09162; Tyler Wagner et al., «Augmented Curation of Medical Notes from a Massive EHR System Reveals Symptoms of Impending COVID-19 Diagnosis», MedRxiv, June 11, 2020, pp. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.19.20067660.

Вернуться

1058

Henrik Salje et al., «Estimating the Burden of SARS-CoV2 in France», Science 369, no. 6500 (July 10, 2020), pp. 208–211, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc3517.

Вернуться

1059

Liu Xiaoqing et al., «COVID-19 Does Not Lead to a ‘Typical’ Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome», American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 201, no. 10 (May 15, 2020), pp. 1299–1300, https://doi.org/10.1164/rccm.202003-0817LE.