Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Фергюсон Ниал (Нил)

UNAIDS, How AIDS Changed Everything, p. 33.

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875

Tony Barnett and Justin Parkhurst, «HIV/AIDS: Sex, Abstinence, and Behaviour Change», Lancet, September 2005, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473–3099 (05) 70219X; Emily Oster, «HIV and Sexual Behavior Change: Why Not Africa?» Journal of Health Economics 31, no. 1 (January 2012), pp. 35–49, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S016762961100172X.

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876

Brooke E. Wells and Jean M. Twenge, «Changes in Young People’s Sexual Behavior and Attitudes, 1943–1999: A Cross-Temporal Meta-Analysis», Review of General Psychology 9, no. 3 (September 2005), pp. 249–261.

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877

Nicholas H. Wolfinger, «Nine Decades of Promiscuity», Institute for Family Studies, February 6, 2018, https://ifstudies.org/blog/nine-decadesofpromiscuity.

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878

Steven Reinberg, «Only About One-Third of Americans Use Condoms: CDC», WebMD, August 10, 2017, https://www.webmd.com/sex/news/20170810/only-about-one-thirdofamericans-use-condoms-cdc#1; Rachael Rettner, «US Men’s Condom Use Is on the Rise», LiveScience, August 10, 2017, https://www.livescience.com/60095-condom-use-men.html.

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879

Peter Ueda, Catherine H. Mercer, and Cyrus Ghaznavi, «Trends in Frequency of Sexual Activity and Number of Sexual Partners Among Adults Aged 18 to 44 Years in the US, 2000–2018», JAMA Network Open 3, no. 6 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.3833.

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880

National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles, Natsal, http://www.natsal.ac.uk/home.aspx.

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881

Отсылка к одноименному британскому фарсу 1971 года и его киноверсии 1973 года.

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882

Kaye Wellings et al., «Changes in, and Factors Associated with,

Frequency of Sex in Britain: Evidence from three National Surveys of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles (Natsal)», BMJ 365, no. l1525 (2019), pp. 1–9, https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l1525.

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883

Ueda, Mercer, and Ghaznavi, «Trends in Frequency of Sexual Activity», eTable 6.

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884

CDC, «HIV in the United States and Dependent Areas», https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/statistics/overview/ataglance.html.

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885

CDC, «2018 STD Surveillance Report», https://www.cdc.gov/nchhstp/newsroom/2019/2018-STD-surveillance-report.html.

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886

James Gorman, «Are Face Masks the New Condoms?» New York Times, April 18, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/18/health/coronavirus-mask-condom.html.

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887

Учитывая, что по правилам пари в число «жертв» входили люди, «нуждающиеся в госпитализации», Рис выиграл задолго до сентября 2020 года, когда общее число погибших превысило миллион. К сожалению для него, ставка составляла скромные 400 долларов. (Прим. авт.)

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888

For Rees’s «Long Now» interview on the subject in 2010, see FORA.tv, «Biotech Disaster by 2020? Martin Rees Weighs the Risks», September 14, 2010, YouTube video, 3:50, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqOBNft2OM.

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889

Подробности пари: Bet 9, Long Bets Project, http://longbets.org/9/.

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890

Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress (New York: Viking, 2018), pp. 142, 301, 307.

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891

Laurie Garrett, «The Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/next-pandemic.

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892

Dan Balz, «America Was Unprepared for a Major Crisis. Again», Washington Post, April 4, 2020, https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/america-was-unprepared-foramajor-crisis-again/.

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893

Michael Osterholm, «Preparing for the Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/preparing-next-pandemic.

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894

Larry Brilliant, «My Wish: Help Me Stop Pandemics», February 2006, TED video, 25:38, https://www.ted.com/talks/larry_brilliant_my_wish_help_me_stop_pandemics.

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895

Ian Goldin and Mike Mariathasan, The Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks and What to Do About It (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2014), chap. 6.

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896

Bill Gates, «The Next Outbreak: We’re Not Ready», March 2015, TED video, 8:25, https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gates_the_next_outbreak_we_re_not_ready.

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897

Robert G. Webster, Flu Hunter: Unlocking the Secrets of a Virus (Otago, New Zealand: University of Otago Press, 2018).

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898

Ed Yong, «The Next Plague Is Coming. Is America Ready?» Atlantic, July/August 2018, https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/07/when-the-next-plague-hits/561734/.

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899

Thoughty2, «This Is the New Killer Virus That Will End Humanity», November 15, 2019, YouTube video, 15:35, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jhz0pVSKtI &app=desktop.

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900

Lawrence Wright, The End of October (New York: Random House, 2020). Эта книга предположительно была завершена в 2019 г.

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901

Peter Frankopan, «We Live in the Age of the Pandemic. This Is What We Need to Do About It», Prospect, December 8, 2019, https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/pandemic-likelihood-preparednessukwho-global.

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902

A. S. Fauci, «Infectious Diseases: Considerations for the 21st Century», IDSA lecture, Clinical Infectious Diseases 32 (2001), pp. 675–678. О трудностях с противотуберкулезными вакцинами см.: Morven E. M. Wilkie and Helen McShane, «TB Vaccine Development: Where Are We and Why Is It So Difficult?» Thorax 70 (2015), pp. 299–301, https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2014-205202.

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903

David M. Morens et al., «The Challenge of Emerging and Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 430 (July 8, 2004), pp. 242–249; Robin A. Weiss, «The Leeuwenhoek Lecture, 2001: Animal Origins of Human Infectious Diseases», Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Biological Sciences 356 (2001), pp. 957-77. См. также: Dorothy H. Crawford, Deadly Companions: How Microbes Shaped Our History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. 214f.

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904

K. E. Jones et al., «Global Trends in Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 451 (February 2008), pp. 990–994.

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905

Vittoria Colizza et al., «The Role of the Airline Transportation Network in the Prediction and Predictability of Global Epidemics», PNAS 103, no. 7 (2006), pp. 2015–2020. См. также: Globalization 101, «Health and Globalization», SUNY Levin Institute, http://www.globalization101.org.