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Конца света не будет. Почему экологический алармизм причиняет нам вред - Майкл Шелленбергер

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coincided with expansion of agricultural lands. These observations provide support for the thesis that (i) technological improvements create incentives for expansion in agricultural frontier areas; and (ii) farmers are likely to reduce their managed acreage only if land becomes a scarce resource. The spatially explicit examination of land-use transitions since 1960 reveals an expansion and gradual movement of the agricultural frontier toward the interior (center-western Cerrado) of Brazil.” Barretto et al., “Agricultural Intensification in Brazil and Its Effects on Land-Use Patterns: An Analysis of the 1975–2006 Period.”

195

Bernardo B. N. Strassburg, Agnieszka E. Lataweic, Luis G. Barioni et al., “When Enough Should Be Enough: Improving the Use of Current Agricultural Lands Could Meet Production Demands and Spare Natural Habitats in Brazil,” Global Environmental Change 28 (September 2014): 84–97, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.001.

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Philip K. Thornton and Mario Herrero, “Potential for Reduced Methane and Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Livestock and Pasture Management in the Tropics,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107, no. 46 (November 2010): 19667–72, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0912890107.

197

Michael Shellenberger, “An Interview with Founder of Earth Innovation, Dan Nepstad.”

198

Juliana Gil, Rachael Garrett, and Thomas Berger, “Determinants of Crop-Livestock Integration in Brazil: Evidence from the Household and Regional Levels,” Land Use Policy 59, no. 31 (December 2016): 557–568, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.09.022.

199

LaMont C. Cole, “Man’s Ecosystem,” BioScience 16, no. 4 (April 1966): 243–48, https://doi.org/10.2307/1293563/. Wallace S. Broecker, “Man’s Oxygen Reserves,” Science 168, no. 3939 (June 1970), 1537–38, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.168.3939.1537. Broecker ended his article “Hopefully the popular press will bury the bogeyman it created.” I am grateful to Mark Sagoff for bringing this history to my attention.

200

Christine Figgener, “Sea Turtle with Straw up Its Nostril–‘NO’ TO PLASTIC STRAWS,” YouTube, August 10, 2015, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wH878t78bw.

201

Christine Figgener, “Sea Turtle with Straw up Its Nostril–‘NO’ TO PLASTIC STRAWS,” YouTube, August 10, 2015, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wH878t78bw.

202

Michael A. Lindenberger, “How a Texas A&M Scientist’s Video of a Sea Turtle Soured Americans on Drinking Straws,” Dallas Morning News, July 19, 2018, https://www.dallasnews.com.

203

Hilary Brueck, “The Real Reason Why So Many Cities and Businesses Are Banning Plastic Straws Has Nothing to Do with Straws at All,” Business Insider, October 22, 2018, https://www.businessinsider.com.

204

Sophia Rosenbaum, “She Recorded That Heartbreaking Turtle Video. Here’s What She Wants Companies like Starbucks to Know About Plastic Straws,” Time, July 17, 2018, https://time.com.

205

Jenna R. Jambeck, Roland Geyer, Chris Wilcox et al., “Plastic Waste Inputs from Land into the Ocean,” Science 347, no. 6223 (February 2015): 768–771, http://doi.org/10.1126/science.1260352.

206

Christine Figgener (sea turtle biologist) in conversation with the author, November 6, 2019.

207

Chris Wilcox, Melody Puckridge, Gamar A. Schuyler et al., “A Quantitative Analysis Linking Sea Turtle Mortality and Plastic Debris Ingestion,” Scientific Reports 8 (September 2018): article no. 12536, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-30038-z.pdf. Chris Wilcox, Nicholas J. Mallos, George H. Leonard et al., “Using Expert Elicitation to Estimate the Impacts of Plastic Pollution on Marine Wildlife,” Marine Policy 65 (March 2016): 107–14, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.10.014.

208

Christine Figgener (sea turtle biologist) in conversation with the author, November 6, 2019/.

209

Leandro Bugoni, L’igia Krause, and Maria Virgínia Petry, “Marine Debris and Human Impacts on Sea Turtles in Southern Brazil,” Marine Pollution Bulletin 42, no. 12 (December 2001): 1330–1334, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-326X(01)00147-3.

210

Chris Wilcox, Melody Puckridge, Gamar A. Schuyler et al., “A Quantitative Analysis Linking Sea Turtle Mortality and Plastic Debris Ingestion.”

211

Iliana Magra, “Whale Is Found Dead in Italy with 48 Pounds of Plastic in Its Stomach,” New York Times, April 2, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com. Matthew Haag, “64 Pounds of Trash Killed a Sperm Whale in Spain, Scientists Say,” New York Times, April 12, 2018, https://nytimes.com. Daniel Victor, “Dead Whale Found With 88 Pounds of Plastic Inside Body in the Philippines,” New York Times, March 18, 2019.

212

Seth Borenstein, “Science Says: Amount of Straws, Plastic Pollution Is Huge,” Associated Press, April 21, 2018, https://apnews.com.

213

Michelle Paleczny, Edd Hammill, Vasiliki Karpouzi, and Daniel Pauly, “Population Trend of the World’s Monitored Seabirds, 1950–2010,” PLOS ONE 10, no. 6 (June 2015): e0129342, https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0129342&type=printable.

214

Laura Parker, “Nearly Every Seabird on Earth Is Eating Plastic,” National Geographic, September 2, 2015, https://www.nationalgeographic.com.

215

Seth Borenstein, “Science Says: Amount of Straws, Plastic Pollution Is Huge.”

216

Chris Wilcox, Erik Van Sebille, and Britta Denise Hardesty, “Threat of Plastic Pollution to Seabirds Is Global, Pervasive, and Increasing,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112, no. 38 (August 2015): 11899–904, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1502108112.

217

Claudia Giacovelli, Anna Zamparo, Andrea Wehrli et al., Single-Use Plastics: A Roadmap for Sustainability, United Nations Environment Programme, 2018, https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/25496/singleUsePlastic_sustainability.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y, 12.

218

Susan Freinkel, Plastics: A Toxic Love Story (New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2011), 7–8.

219

Roland Geyer, Jenna R. Jambeck, and Kara Lavender Law, “Production, Use, and Fate of All Plastics Ever Made,” Science Advances 3, no. 7 (July 19, 2017): e1700782, http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/7/e1700782.

220

Jambeck et al., “Plastic Waste Inputs from Land into the Ocean.”

221

Jambeck et al., “Plastic Waste Inputs from Land into the Ocean.”

222

W. C. Li, H. F. Tse,

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